Mechelen - Kortrijk predictions

With the 1.65 being what they are, we don’t expect anything other than a home win. Pulling off anything else would be a gargantuan task for Kortrijk, so we’d stay away unless you’re looking for a long shot on purpose.

With a matchup like this, it seems like we already know the outcome. Kortrijk stand little chance of achieving anything except an appearance. Most bookies price an away win for this match at 5.21, marking an insurmountable difference.

It might have been a slim Antwerp victory but Mechelen had not expected anything when they prepared for their previous Pro League fixture in the first place. As overwhelming underdogs, they will have been elated ahead of their Saturday clash.

The visiting team are coming on the back of an HT/FT defeat in their most recent home game, which was painful but quite expected. As a point of reference, top online bookmakers priced their victory at no less than 1.40, indicating they never had much of a shot in the first place.

Mechelen leave quite the impression whenever we see them play in front of their fans at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne. They scored more than 5 goals in total the last 3 times they did so, which is a solidly impressive record.

One of the main reasons the bookies are pricing a home win at 1.65 is the previous clash between these two teams. Earlier in the season, Mechelen won as visitors. To be fair, though, it was a relatively narrow victory.

Youssef Challouk, Thierry Ambrose, Mounaim El Idrissy, Djibi Seck, Haruya Fujii have all been forced to stay out of this match due to various injuries. That’s one more disadvantage that the visitors will have to deal with on top of being the less likely team to win.

Based on the information available, a Draw/Home in the HT/FT market is a more likely outcome than the 5.10 odds are implying. It’s still a risky bet to take, but it offers strong value.