Auxerre - Olympique Marseille predictions

Upsets do happen in football and it’s fair to say a home win here would be a definition of the case. Auxerre can count themselves lucky if they avoid getting completely destroyed by Olympique Marseille in this match.

We are most likely going to see this match being won by Olympique Marseille. They have a solid advantage over their opponents – at least according to the betting odds. That said, we’ve definitely seen much bigger surprises in the Ligue 1 but such a scenario is not entirely likely in this fixture.

Auxerre thought they could pull off a major surprise in the last Ligue 1 round. They were leading at the halftime of a very difficult trip but could not hold onto the lead for the full 90 minutes and had to settle for a Brest daw.

Olympique Marseille’s previous outing was a decent performance on their end. They curtly earned three points against Saint-Étienne by maintaining a lead throughout the match. The 1.24 made them huge favourites so the result didn’t come as much of a surprise.

The first step Auxerre need to make to improve is to shore up their defences. With more than 5 goals conceded over the last 3 matches, it seems to be the main aspect of play holding them back.

The visiting team are doing rather well offensively – at least as far as their latest 3 matches can tell us. They’ve scored more than 5 times in total over the course of these games.

Olympique Marseille are one of the table leaders with a 2nd placement. Success is still a ways off, though an away win this Saturday would help a lot.

The away team may be the favourites according to the odds, but their previous engagement with Auxerre puts them in a precarious position. They lost that match quite badly, and they even had the home-field advantage that time.

On top of being considered underdogs, the home team is forced to play with a limited roster. With Lasso Coulibaly, Ki-Jana Hoever, Hamed Junior Traorè, Nathan Buayi-Kiala, Sinaly Diomande, Aristide Zossou all unavailable due to injury, they have very limited means at their disposal to beat the odds.

While it’s risky as far as betting predictions go, a Draw/Away bet in the Half Time/Full Time market is the best place to find betting value in this match. Simply put, the 5.42 odds outweigh the relatively small implied probability.