Monaco - Lorient predictions

Most fans are expecting nothing short of a decisive victory for Monaco. Though an upset is not impossible, it’s extremely unlikely that this match will end in anything that’s not a home win.

The current perspective makes the situation plain as day. Given the superiority of Monaco and the 8.55 odds given to Lorient to win, it is clear that anything but a home win would be a stunning upset.

The 0:1 victory the hosts recorded last round was relatively predictable – most bookies saw them winning as the most likely outcome despite the home-field disadvantage. They needed some time to get things going but ultimately pulled ahead in the second half.

Lorient are coming on the back of a harsh loss to Olympique Lyonnais. Even though Lorient were the hosts in this matchup, they never had much of a shot in terms of the balance for power. They held Olympique Lyonnais off in the first half, but the favourites steamrolled their way to a decisive 0:2 win before the end.

Interestingly, the hosts’ recent track record claims they’ve made over 5 goals in the latest 3 games they played as visitors. Playing at home presumably gives them an advantage, so Lorient’s defenders will need to tread lightly.

Looking over the stats for the away team, it seems they consistently display a remarkable ability to perform under pressure. They boast 5 goals on record in their latest 3 away games alone and there is no doubt they will be looking to get their name on the score board this time around as well.

With as little as 11 point between them and the best-placed team in the Ligue 1, the hosts are well motivated to give their best. With the odds in their favour as well, moving on to the Champions League is another strong possibility.

The away team are placed fairly low as number 15th in the standings, and they’re not likely to win any points in this game either. For now, their only goal is staying out of the relegation zone, though the competition can get fierce this late in the season.

These two teams already clashed multiple times this season, and neither managed to come out on top in any of those games. Most bookmakers see Monaco as the favourites, though, so they’ll want to use the extra drive of being the hosts to finally earn a conclusive result.

Before going for any betting predictions, we need to make note of the overall high number of prior injuries. Both sides have been hit: Krépin Diatta, Mohamed Camara, Mohammed Salisu for the hosts, and Igor Carioca, Bonke Innocent, Quentin Boisgard, Benjamin Mendy for the visitors. Needless to say, this may impact the teams’ performance.

Based on the information available, a Draw/Home in the HT/FT market is a more likely outcome than the 5.43 odds are implying. It’s still a risky bet to take, but it offers strong value.