St. Pauli - Borussia M'gladbach predictions

St. Pauli will have to fight an uphill battle to win this match. They are the underdogs of the matchup – though Borussia M'gladbach don’t have a huge advantage. Still, with the 2.61 odds on a home win, things may get a bit dicey.

The visiting team knows that beating St. Pauli on their own turf will be a major accomplishment, and it is always a formidable challenge.

The hosts return home after an away defeat (Bayern München) which saw them defy the odds a bit. Online bookmakers expected them to get destroyed but St. Pauli held their ground in the first half and only went down with a minimal goal difference after the break.

Borussia M. previously won a home game after a fairly strong overall performance. While it took them more than half the game to gain a clear advantage, it’s important to remember that their victory was priced at 2.40. Considering they were playing at home, their chances of winning seemed dubious at best at kickoff.

St. Pauli have a notably poor defensive record when it comes to playing as visitors. We’re mostly referring to the 5 conceded goals over their latest 3 away games. They are playing as hosts this time around, but you should be aware before you put down any money.

Borussia M'Gladbach may need more consistency in their defense if they want to get anywhere. They have more than 5 conceded goals over their 3 most recent home games, for instance.

St. Pauli have a 15th place in the standings going into round 28. There’s still time left to improve their position, but the teams placed lower will be highly motivated to avoid relegation. The showdown this Sunday is evenly-matched, but all teams are motivated to give it their best.

Though the odds are clearly in the hosts’ favour, the head-to-head history for this Bundesliga clash tells a different story. St. Pauli lost the last time these two teams met on the pitch, so an upset is definitely possible.

If you’re hunting for betting value, a Draw bet is by far your best option. Success is definitely not guaranteed, but the 3.46 odds provide a decent enough return to make the risk worth it.