Mainz 05 - St. Pauli predictions

Mainz 05 are expected to win here, but we can’t call such betting predictions completely foolproof. St. Pauli may surprise us yet, and even a tie game seems a decent possibility from where we’re standing.

It would be a minor miracle for St. Pauli to win at Mainz, and they’re likely aware of that. Though risky, such an outcome could bring solid profits thanks to the 4.06 price on most online sportsbooks.

All things considered, Mainz will have been happy with their previous Bundesliga result. They had a tough trip where everyone predicted they would end up coming from bleeding but Mainz held their ground both in the first and the second half to earn a point in a Bayern München HT/FT Draw.

There’s not a lot that can be said about St. Pauli’s previous performance because the whole affair was rather predictable. An early lead allowed them to stroll their way to a comfortable 2:1 home win against Heidenheim.

A high concessions rate is not a good look to have, and Mainz 05 have been on a downward spiral when it comes to their defensive performance. With 5 goals conceded over their past 3 games, there’s definite room for improvement.

The most relevant bit of history we have for St. Pauli is their high concession rate at recent home games. After more than 5 goals conceded in 3 games, their fans have warranted concerns over the squad’s defensive performance.

In terms of the teams’ head-to-head history, it’s clear that the hosts have the upper hand. Last season they overcame St. Pauli on several occasions, each time with a considerable margin. The visitors will be looking to leave a better impression this season, but it won’t be easy.

With zero injuries reported across the board, this is shaping up to be an exciting outing indeed. Both teams will have their complete squads at their disposal, so we can fully expect them to bring their A-game.

These teams are relatively close in terms of form, so our suggestion is to go for a Draw result. However, lengthening the odds with a Draw/Draw HT/FT bet is an even better option. It pushes the odds to 1.94 while the risks remain largely the same.