Ajax - NAC Breda predictions

This is a fairly one-sided matchup in the hosts’ favour. While there may be a tiny chance of a draw or even an upset, we wouldn’t count on it. Ajax winning is by far the most likely outcome.

The current perspective makes the situation clear. Given the superiority of Ajax and the fact that NAC Breda are given 11.00 odds to win, it is easy to conclude that anything but a home win would be an unexpected shock.

Ajax are coming off from a downright impressive performance against PSV in the previous round. Not only did they win an away game against almost impossible odds, but they did so with a considerable 0:2 difference. They took the lead in the early game and only increased their advantage from there.

NAC Breda’s previous Eredivisie match ended with a home draw against FC Groningen. The 1:1 outcome was better for NAC Breda than for their opponents, but fans are hoping for more decisive results in round 28.

Ajax’s attackers don’t seem to need a home-field advantage when it comes to scoring. With 8 goals in their last three away games, it’s hard to find issues with their attacking play.

Our confidence that NAC Breda will manage to hold their composure in an away game is shaky. They have over 5 concessions on record in their latest 3 visiting games alone.

The home squad is looking exceedingly confident, so most predictions agree that they have the upper hand in this matchup. Moreover, they’re the best-placed team in the league, and the possibility of a title will keep them highly motivated.

Ajax previously played this match as the visitors in a previous round of the Eredivisie and suffered a fairly narrow defeat. Most bookies believe things will end differently this time, pricing a home win at 1.25.

The hosts may be favourites to win the match, but their lineup is in a somewhat weakened state. A. Van Axel Dongen, Youri Baas, Remko Pasveer are all sidelined due to injury, which makes Ajax’s position as favourites a bit shakier than it might seem.

We recommend taking up Pncl’s offer for a Draw/Home result in the Half Time/Full Time market, priced at 6.41. It’s fairly good for value, but you might want to steer clear if you’re looking for high-probability wagers.