Nacional - Estrela Amadora predictions

Nacional should not have bigger problems running away with three points in this match if they stick to their game plan. However, Estrela Amadora can be a tough nut to crack and the home side need to be on top of their game.

The visitors would need to pull off quite a stunt in order to come out victorious. They are severely outmatched in this outing – the 4.06 away win odds alone should speak volumes.

When we talk about Nacional’s previous Primeira Liga result, it’s fair to say hosts can be pretty happy to have avoided a heavier defeat. They were the 5.46 underdogs last time out and a narrow Santa Clara HT/FT loss is not something to scoff at.

Estrela Amadora last played at home, which was not nearly enough to help them overcome the 1.33 odds that were stacked against them. They didn’t immediately fall behind as expected, but multiple consecutive concessions in the last game brought about a 0:3 defeat.

The previous 3 times we saw Nacional play at home were marked by more than 5 goals from them. The visitors will need to be careful if they want to avoid conceding a lot of goals.

The away team’s defensive record is slipping. They’ve conceded more than 5 times in their previous 3 Primeira Liga engagements. This, at least, points to this match as a decent choice for something like an Over 5 Goals bet.

The last time we saw these two squads play against each other was earlier in this Primeira Liga season. Nacional narrowly lost. With the home-field advantage on their side this time, however, most bookies see them as the favourites.

Thankfully, Estrela Amadora will be able to bring out their roster in full force, with no players forced to the sidelines due to injury or suspension. They’re still considered underdogs, mind you, but it’s something to consider.

If you’re hunting for betting value, a Draw bet is by far your best option. Success is definitely not guaranteed, but the 3.23 odds provide a decent enough return to make the risk worth it.