Vitória Guimarães - Farense predictions

With the 1.56 being what they are, we don’t expect anything other than a home win. Pulling off anything else would be a gargantuan task for Farense, so we’d stay away unless you’re looking for a long shot on purpose.

With a price of 6.41 on an away win among most online sportsbooks, it’s clear Farense will likely not fare well against Vitória Guimarães. Even a draw seems to be too optimistic for the away team.

Vitória Guimarães are coming on the back of a surprise upturn in the previous round. The betting odds seemed stacked against them at kick-off, being the away team whose victory was priced at 9.46. They took the lead in the first half, however, and secured a stunning 1:2 victory against Porto .

Farense are coming on the back of top-notch performance in their recent home game against Boavista in which they won the game 2:0. Better yet, they were in the lead for most of the match, which only makes the victory more decisive.

Interestingly, the hosts’ recent track record claims they’ve made over 5 goals in the latest 3 games they played as visitors. Playing at home presumably gives them an advantage, so Farense’s defenders will need to tread lightly.

Based on their recent performance, Farense’s largest issue seems to be defence, especially in away games. With 7 conceded goals in their 3 previous visiting matches, Over 3.5 Goals markets seem like a solid betting option.

One of the main reasons the bookies are pricing a home win at 1.56 is the previous clash between these two teams. Earlier in the season, Vitória Guimarães won as visitors. To be fair, though, it was a relatively narrow victory.

This Saturday, both teams will be at full strength and able to give it their all.

Based on the information available, a Draw/Home in the HT/FT market is a more likely outcome than the 1.58 odds are implying. It’s still a risky bet to take, but it offers strong value.