Vitória Guimarães - Moreirense predictions

By pricing a home win at around 1.95, the bookies made it clear that Vitória Guimarães are the favourites. Overall, though, the difference between the teams is not big, and the match can end either way.

The away team’s chances of winning this Saturday are dubious at best. They are the clear underdogs in a matchup with Vitória Guimarães, and the fact that they’re the visiting team isn’t making things any easier.

The deciding goal in Vitória Guimarães’s recent victory at Chaves came after a protracted stalemate, but it still secured the victory. The 1:2 outcome was quite predictable if Primeira Liga betting odds are to be believed – the bookies saw an away win as the most likely outcome, though not overwhelmingly so.

Moreirense is coming on the back of a textbook home win in the previous round. They took the lead in the first half and kept up the pace until the final whistle, which earned them 3 more points in a 1:0 win against Arouca.

Vitória Guimarães have a reputation for consistently scoring high, especially in the past few matches. Records show more than 5 goals scored in total over their previous 3 outings, which is a fairly strong result.

A lot of games Moreirense play end with either 1 or no goals at all. This is most notably true for the previous two rounds of the league.

The last time we saw these two squads play against each other was earlier in this Primeira Liga season. Vitória Guimarães narrowly lost. With the home-field advantage on their side this time, however, most bookies see them as the favourites.

Saturday's matchup will see both teams at full strength, free of injuries and suspensions.

The 1.70 offered for Under 2.5 Goals bets in this match may seem a bit risky considering the market, but they’re well worth it compared to the probability of the outcome. That said, it’s a solid choice for value, but not necessarily safety.