Valencia - Almería predictions

A quick look at the betting odds with some of the biggest bookmakers online is enough to tell you who the favourites are. Priced at 1.69, a home win seems the obvious choice. An upset is not quite impossible, mind you, which adds a small degree of risk but is ultimately food increasing profits.

Though it may not be particularly attractive to punters, this match is at least easy to predict. Anything but a Home Win is probably wishful thinking for Almería, whose victory has been priced at a hefty 5.54.

Although Valencia are coming on the back of a harsh 2:0 loss, it would be rather unfair to judge them purely on that performance. They were playing an away game in an extremely difficult matchup against Atlético Madrid , so they spent most of the match trailing behind.

The visiting team are coming on the back of a $RESULT defeat in their most recent home game against Deportivo Alavés. To be fair, their victory was priced at 2.83, which means they were fighting an uphill battle despite playing at home.

The away team’s defensive record is slipping. They’ve conceded more than 5 times in their previous 3 La Liga engagements. This, at least, points to this match as a decent choice for something like an Over 5 Goals bet.

The season hasn’t been going great for Almería. They’re stuck at 20th place, well within the relegation zone. To make things worse, their chances of earning points against Valencia are not great either.

These two teams already clashed multiple times this season, and neither managed to come out on top in any of those games. Most bookmakers see Valencia as the favourites, though, so they’ll want to use the extra drive of being the hosts to finally earn a conclusive result.

This match is notable for the number of injuries reported prior by both sides. On one hand, the hosts will have to make do without Thierry Correia, André Almeida, Sergi Canos. On the other, the visitors will not be able to count on Arnau Martínez, Luis Javier Suárez, Ibrahima Kone. Both are in a precarious state, but you should take the importance of these players to the respective strategies before putting down a stake.

Despite the risks involved, the strongest prediction in terms of value is an HT/FT bet that the hosts will take lead in the second half. It’s as risky as you might expect, though the 1.71 odds offer a decent return.