PSV - AZ Alkmaar predictions

PSV are likely on their way to a decisive victory, and it’s hard to feel optimistic about the visitors’ prospects. Bookmakers are pricing a home win at 1.46, which is quite in line with most expert opinions.

From the present standpoint, the situation is obvious. Given the strength of PSV and the 7.50 odds given to AZ Alkmaar to win, it is clear that anything but a home win would be an unexpected upset.

Most Eredivisie betting predictions easily saw their most recent 0:2 triumph coming. They were generally seen as the hard favourites compared to their opponents Excelsior despite the home-field disadvantage. That said, the entire goal difference was built up in the second half.

The last time we saw AZ Alkmaar, an away game against Heracles ended with a crushing 5:0 loss for them. The fact that they were deemed much more likely to win makes the defeat even harder, especially considering they were never in the lead.

PSV have scored at least once in each of their previous seven matches, so a null result is not very likely.

AZ Alkmaar are performing rather sub-par whenever they play away. For instance, they have more than 5 conceded goals spread over their most recent 3 away games.

PSV are currently the top dogs in the Eredivisie, but there’s still time to change that and they need to be careful. Still, the season’s end is getting closer and the match against AZ Alkmaar is a good chance to solidify their position even further.

Looking at the previous time these squads clashed in this season, it’s no surprise that PSV are the favourites. They managed to grab a narrow win playing as visitors, and it’s quite reasonable to expect them to do the same as the hosts.

The odds being what they are, remember that they were priced with various injuries in mind. The hosts reported that Ismael Saibari, Noa Lang, Hirving Lozano will have to sit this one out, while AZ Alkmaar will have to make do without Bruno Martins Indi, Lequincio Zeefuik, Mayckel Lahdo.

Despite the risks involved, the strongest prediction in terms of value is an HT/FT bet that the hosts will take lead in the second half. It’s as risky as you might expect, though the 5.05 odds offer a decent return.