Benfica - Moreirense predictions

With the odds set at 1.29 for a home win, Benfica winning is clearly the most likely outcome in this matchup. Bigger upsets have happened, of course, but we wouldn’t expect anything but a decisive home win.

The current perspective makes the situation straightforward. Given the superiority of Benfica and the 11.84 odds given to Moreirense to win, it is evident that a victory for the visiting team would be a shocking surprise.

Benfica’s previous Primeira Liga clash came down to a single goal making the difference. Benfica held well for the first 45 minutes but did not have enough gas in their tank to push through the entire match. In the end, a narrow Sporting CP home defeat is what they will be looking to bounce back from this Sunday.

The away team are hoping for a more conclusive outcome than the 2:2 draw they had to settle for in the previous round. The tie was not entirely unexpected considering the relatively close betting odds, but Moreirense had a lead at halftime that they ended up losing before the end.

Though the 5 concessions over the past 3 away games for Benfica may not directly affect this particular match, such a history may be cause for concern for their supporters.

Moreirense seem to take on a rather passive role whenever they play as visitors. Records show two consecutive matches that featured less than 2 total goals between them and their opponents.

Even though they are occupying the Champions League spot, Benfica need 4 points to reach the very top of the ladder. This upcoming match offers a decent shot at closing the difference behind the league leaders.

Even though we’ve seen Benfica and Moreirense clash multiple times this season, none of the two teams managed to secure a conclusive record. There have several tied games throughout multiple competitions.

This Sunday, both teams will be at full strength and able to give it their all.

Based on the information available, a Draw/Home in the HT/FT market is a more likely outcome than the 1.29 odds are implying. It’s still a risky bet to take, but it offers strong value.