Middlesbrough - Derby County predictions

Middlesbrough are firm favourites in this matchup, and backing them may offer surprising betting value. It’s a very safe bet, though we suppose an upset is not outside the realm of possibility. We wouldn’t count on Derby County winning, though.

From the current viewpoint, the situation is unambiguous. Considering the strength of Middlesbrough and the 5.17 odds given to Derby County to win, it is easy to see that a win for the visiting team would be a remarkable upset.

Middlesbrough locked down 3 points in the previous round and ran off with a 1:3 goal difference, both of which are sure to help this season’s Championship campaign. Most betting odds and predictions expected them to secure a home win, but the goal difference is much more convincing than anyone expected.

Derby County lost their previous Championship to a 0:1 result, which was more or less expected given the 3.30 odds most bookies gave them to win. The match was still undecided at the 45-minute mark, but the second half resulted in a close away win.

The last 3 times we saw The Boro play as the away team, they had serious issues stopping the ball from getting into their net, conceding more than 5 times. Hopefully, they’ll have better luck at home.

Based on their recent performance, Derby County’s largest issue seems to be defence, especially in away games. With 7 conceded goals in their 3 previous visiting matches, Over 3.5 Goals markets seem like a solid betting option.

These two squads already clashed this season, and The Boro narrowly lost the bout. With a home-field advantage on their side, however, most bookies believe that they’re more likely to win this time.

The hosts may be favourites to win the match, but their lineup is in a somewhat weakened state. Riley McGree, Alex Bangura, Darragh Lenihan are all sidelined due to injury, which makes The Boro’s position as favourites a bit shakier than it might seem.

Thankfully, Derby County will be able to bring out their roster in full force, with no players forced to the sidelines due to injury or suspension. They’re still considered underdogs, mind you, but it’s something to consider.

Our advice is to stay on the safe side and go for the Over 2.5 Goals market. It’s reliable, very probable, and available at odds of 1.88 if you use the Pncl sportsbook.