Empoli - Milan predictions

The game is heavily lopsided in the visitors’ favour – for instance, most bookies are offering 5.76 odds on a home win. The hosts are no doubt in a difficult situation and don’t have much hope of overcoming Milan.

The odds are clearly leaning in the away team’s favour, though the difference is by no means insurmountable. Empoli will have to give their all to come out on top, though, while Milan merely have to make sure not to make major mistakes.

Empoli’s crushing away defeat in the last round was painful but predictable. Hopes were up for their fans at half-time as they maintained an unlikely lead, but it all came crashing down in the second half, ending in a 4:1 loss in an away game at Juventus .

The away team staved off defeat in the previous round despite the largely unfavourable betting odds they had going in. Records show that they were leading at the end of the first half, which was already quite an upset. The final outcome was a 1:1 draw on home ground.

A high concessions rate is not a good look to have, and Empoli have been on a downward spiral when it comes to their defensive performance. With 5 goals conceded over their past 3 games, there’s definite room for improvement.

Empoli are heading into round 24 with 1 point between them and the relegation zone. They’ll surely want to make some more breathing room for themselves – but going through Milan to do so will be a difficult task.

AC Milan need another 5 points to move into the European places. Beating Empoli would be vital in their effort to remain in the chase. Judging by the available betting odds on Away Win (AC Milan_WIN_ODDS) this should not be too big of a challenge.

The most recent record of this matchup we have is a decisive The Rossoneri victory from the previous Serie A season. Based partly on the considerable lead they secured before the end of that bout, this game’s away team are expected to win again.

The hosts weren’t considered likely to win either way, but they are in a slightly worse position now. Ardian Ismajli, Jacopo Fazzini, Mattia Viti, Faustino Anjorin have all been injured recently, leaving the team’s coach with a narrower range of options.

This match is a bit tough to find value in, so you’ll need to be willing to take a risk. An HT/FT Draw/Away bet at odds of 5.76 is not exactly probable, but it’s clearly the best offer in terms of value.