Milan - Fiorentina predictions

By pricing a home win at around 1.91, the bookies made it clear that Milan are the favourites. Overall, though, the difference between the teams is not big, and the match can end either way.

The odds are stacked heavily against Fiorentina here, and we can’t see them winning this match. AC Milan are heavily favoured by most betting predictions – so much so that an away bet is priced at around 4.06.

The hosts are coming off from a narrow away defeat Napoli from the previous Serie A fixture. They were never able to put up a real fight as they fell behind in the first 45 minutes and never got a chance to catch up despite the minimum goal deficit.

Fiorentina supporters were amazed last round by the squad’s surprise victory against Atalanta. They had the home-field advantage, but the 2.15 odds were still stacked heavily against them. Despite the unfavourable conditions, though, they ended up recording a narrow HT/FT victory.

The home team’s tendency to see their defence crumble under the pressure of away games is worrying – they conceded more than 5 times over the previous 3 away games. The fact that they’re at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza this Saturday makes things easier for them, but not by a lot.

Fiorentina hadn’t conceded a single goal over the course of their latest 3 home games. Even though they’ll be playing as visitors this time around, Both Teams to Score and Home Win bets don’t seem like a good idea for the time being.

La Viola are currently number 8th on the table, which is a somewhat awkward position. A Europa League qualification seems to be within reach, but time is quickly running out at the coming matches are stacked against them.

Though the odds are clearly in the hosts’ favour, the head-to-head history for this Serie A clash tells a different story. AC Milan lost the last time these two teams met on the pitch, so an upset is definitely possible.

La Viola will have an even more difficult time of this match than what was expected. They will be missing at least a few players due to injury - Andrea Colpani, Robin Gosens, Edoardo Bove will all be unable to perform.

Based on both teams’ previous performances, an Over 2.5 Goals bet is very likely to win. The returns are somewhat limited at the odds of 1, but it’s still an incredibly safe bet.