Milan - Napoli predictions

By pricing a home win at around 1.99, the bookies made it clear that Milan are the favourites. Overall, though, the difference between the teams is not big, and the match can end either way.

The visitors would need to pull off quite a stunt in order to come out victorious. They are severely outmatched in this outing – the 3.91 away win odds alone should speak volumes.

The hosts are coming on the back of a narrow away win at Frosinone. A victory was fairly expected considering the favourable betting odds, but they had a tougher time of earning the narrow 2:3 win than most fans predicted.

Napoli had little to prove the last time they played at home against Hellas Verona, and they secured a 2:1 victory through a one-goal lead in the second half. Still, more was expected from them in such a favourable matchup, and their opponents in round 24 might be a harder nut to crack.

With 6 concessions over the last 3 matches, AC Milan will definitely have to make some improvements in their defensive line.

In addition to being this matchup’s favourites, the home team are number 3rd in the standings. This means they’re on their way to the Champions League if they keep the pace up. That said, there’s plenty of time left for them to fumble it – or to move up to first.

Napoli are currently in the upper half of the Serie A table with a number 7th. They probably won’t be satisfied without at least moving on to the Europa League, though, which will be quite difficult. Wresting away any additional points from a matchup like AC Milan will be an uphill battle.

AC Milan have had the chance to play against Napoli several times this season, albeit not always as part of the Serie A. The matchup recorded several draws and failed to produce a winner so far, but the favourites AC Milan are hoping to finally gain a clear advantage over their opponents.

The odds being what they are, remember that they were priced with various injuries in mind. The hosts reported that Mattia Caldara, Fikayo Tomori, Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa, Malick Thiaw, Tommaso Pobega will have to sit this one out, while Napoli will have to make do without Piotr Zieliński, Mathias Olivera, Alex Meret.

If you’re feeling confident, a Draw/Home wager in the Half Time/Full Time market is the way to go. It’s a fairly risky move, but likely the best way to get some value out of the match this Sunday.