Mainz 05 - Borussia M'gladbach predictions

By pricing a home win at around 2.02, the bookies made it clear that Mainz 05 are the favourites. Overall, though, the difference between the teams is not big, and the match can end either way.

It would be a minor miracle for Borussia M'gladbach to win at Mainz 05, and they’re likely aware of that. Though risky, such an outcome could bring solid profits thanks to the 3.86 price on most online sportsbooks.

The hosts return home after an away defeat (Bayer Leverkusen) which saw them defy the odds a bit. Online bookmakers expected them to get destroyed but Mainz held their ground in the first half and only went down with a minimal goal difference after the break.

Borussia M. are coming on the back of top-notch performance in their recent home game against Bochum in which they won the game 5:2. Better yet, they were in the lead for most of the match, which only makes the victory more decisive.

The home team’s tendency to see their defence crumble under the pressure of away games is worrying – they conceded more than 5 times over the previous 3 away games. The fact that they’re at OPEL ARENA this Saturday makes things easier for them, but not by a lot.

The away team’s home game record shows a high rate of goal scoring – more than 5 in the previous 3 matches, to be precise. Although they don’t have the advantage of a home game in this showdown, their attackers are still determined to do well against Mainz 05.

Borussia M. and Mainz tied several times this season, leaving us with inconclusive head-to-head stats. Mainz are still considered more likely to come out on top this Saturday, though, so the home-field advantage might be enough to finally swing things in their favour.

They may be favoured to win, but the home team are still playing at an extreme disadvantage because a lot of their players suffered an injury recently. Jonathan Burkardt, Ludovic Ajorque, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Maxim Leitsch, Nelson Felix Patrick Weiper, Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell will not be able to play, putting the team in a dangerous situation.

A Home Win at the odds of 2.02 is the most likely outcome here with decent value and a strong probability of success. This doesn’t seem like a good opportunity to take unnecessary risks.