Köln - Freiburg predictions

With 2.39 on home win, the ground is level and three points are everyone’s to take. However, we’d still recommend backing Köln who should end up victorious in the end against Freiburg.

The visitors are well-aware of the task ahead. Beating The Billy Goats is difficult under any circumstances and doing it on their own turf would be an even bigger achievement for Freiburg.

Although Koln’s previous match ended in a draw, their supporters have a lot to be happy about. The situation seemed desperate at half time when they were losing a seemingly impossible matchup against Mainz 05 – and a 1:1 draw doesn’t seem bad comparatively.

Whatever went wrong for Freiburg in the last round against Wolfsburg, it’s clear it happened after the 45-minute mark. They were leading on their home field in a fairly favourable matchup, yet they fumbled it and lost the match 1:2.

After recording more than 5 concessions in the previous 3 home games alone, confidence in The Billy Goats and their ability to bank on home-field advantage is shaky.

The visiting team have had very bad luck when it comes to their concession rate. In the past 3 home games, they conceded more than 5 goals.

Earlier in the season, Koln lost an away game against Freiburg, though it was with a relatively small goal difference. Most betting predictions agree that things will go differently this time, especially with the 2.39 odds for a home win in mind.

Before going for any betting predictions, we need to make note of the overall high number of prior injuries. Both sides have been hit: Dejan Ljubičić, Davie Selke, Luca Kilian, Leart Paqarda for the hosts, and Tan Jerico Schmidt, Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, Merlin Röhl, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Max Rosenfelder for the visitors. Needless to say, this may impact the teams’ performance.

Though a Home Win seems like a sure bet here, we would advise securing it additionally with a Draw No Bet. Koln have been known to lack consistency at times, so removing the possibility of a draw is well worth reducing the odds to 1.