Newcastle United - Luton Town predictions

This match is somewhat one-sided, but not the most imbalanced clash we’ve seen. The odds are heavily in the hosts’ favour, who will likely walk away with 3 more points to the tally.

From the present standpoint, the situation is obvious. Given the strength of Newcastle United and the 7.28 odds given to Luton Town to win, it is clear that anything but a home win would be an unexpected upset.

What everyone expected to be a tightly-contested affair turned into a one-sided match as The Magpies recorded a convincing Aston Villa away win in the last round of the Premier League. With an HT/FT victory like this in the bag, the hosts will be highly motivated ahead of Saturday.

With a home win priced at 1.82, not many Luton Town supporters had much hope of them winning the home game they played last week. However, they took their opponents by surprise, scored early, and proceeded to record an HT/FT victory with a decisive goal difference.

Looking over the home team’s recent record, we can see a worrying trend. They’ve conceded more than 5 goals over the past 3 matches alone, indicating problems in their defensive lineup.

Considering the away team’s recent history, it seems they don’t play their best when they’re visitors. The previous 3 times were marked by 5 goals conceded and the negative trend will probably continue.

Luton Town displayed relatively shaky form in the 23 games they’ve appeared in so far. They’re dangerously close to the bottom of the table, placing at number 17th in the standings. Such placement makes the difficult matchup in St. James' Park even more concerning for their supporters.

Earlier in the season, The Magpies lost an away game against Luton Town, though it was with a relatively small goal difference. Most betting predictions agree that things will go differently this time, especially with the 1.47 odds for a home win in mind.

Kieran Trippier, Jamaal Lascelles, Miguel Almirón will all have to sit this one out due to injuries, leaving the home team’s lineup in a weakened state. They still have an advantage according to betting prices, but it may not be as notable as it would have been otherwise.

Our tip is to risk an Over 3.5 Goals wager. The 1 are worth giving up the relative safety of a simpler Over 2.5. That said, it’s still a relatively riskier bet than what some punters might prefer.